Shield pack expected value

Is a Shield booster pack worth opening? Expected value $4.43 per pack against a $11.25 pack price, from live card prices and pull rates.

Expected value per pack: $4.43
Booster pack price: $11.25
On average a pack is worth more kept sealed.
Packs per box: 30
Chase cards with live prices: 23
Chance a pack contains no chase card: 76.2%

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